GREAT LAKES WEATHER: Noon Update/Something interesting

13 January 2012

Noon Update/Something interesting

As of right now, there aren't a whole lot of places that I can really revise the forecast for. Things are going relatively smoothly this afternoon as the low pressure system continues to produce snow. Now there are some of you out there, and I've been hearing this comment all day, thinking this system was a bust. No, it is doing exactly what it is suppose to do...only it was a few hours late. I mentioned 2-4 inches the west between last night and today...that is happening right now. Obviously, that isn't a lot of snow for such a long time period, so the snow accumulation would be very gradual and slow. The system started a good 4-5 hours late in the west and it will end a good 4-5 hours later than expected. So, again, the main thing about this low was the temperature contrast which we were are presently seeing. So lets go ahead and take a look at those temperatures in the region right now, because there is something really cool taking place in the region that I want to show you all...it happens a lot, but today is actually noticable.

Michigan.

Now despite the large influx of cooler air into the region, central Michigan is actually warmer than the majority of the region. Why? Because of the lake. Once water freezes it becomes ice, it has to be 32° for that to happen...however water takes a while to freeze. The lake still isn't frozen over yet. So as that cool air races over the lake, it is going to warm up very slightly and then move over land. That is why places like Grand Rapids, Michigan are sitting at 27°, while cities like South Bend, Indiana are at 18°. Lake Michigan is a much broader mass of water than Lake Erie...so Erie won't really see that type of temp difference. Again, this happens quite a bit in the region, but I figured to show it for once. However, temperatures in the region are a little bit cooler than I had expected, so I did adjust highs in the Fort Wayne and Toledo accordingly.

Alrighty, so nothing much really going on in the region right now. We do have yet another system that is going to impact the region by Tuesday in the region, and this one is going to be another interesting one.

Not all of the charts are up and revised in time to make forecasts, so I have left them alone for right now. In fact, to this day I still do not know why I do Noon Updates because the charts are never done updating at this time. So, I'll be working on the forecasts in a little bit, and I should have some revisions done by about 12.30 p.m. Also, there will not be an afternoon post due to lack of changing weather. However this evening I will have a brief post. I'll update you if anything changes drastically, but for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather! Keep checking back for updates because I'll have them for you as always.

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.