A bit to type about this morning so let us get started first off with the weather yesterday: Now for those of you in the Toledo, OH area, I am sure by now that you've heard about the damage that occured yesterday as a result of a yesterday's storm. The storm went through the western half of the Toledo and through Sylvania and caused I-475 to be shut down for a little bit. So what did happen yesterday? Well I haven't gotten a chance to go over the storm reports, nor the radars from that time yesterday (I will do so after this update). Here is what I am thinking happened: The storm was moving slow, and it was hot outside. With the amount of precip that storm had, adding to the effect that the surrounding temps were well into the 90's, this perhaps caused a bit of air clashing. Normally, when a storm moves slow, there isn't that much wind associated with it, normally, but this appears to be one of the ones that found the few exceptions to the rule. I am thinking that as the storm started to fall apart slightly, all of that rain cooled air came down with it, and jutted out of the storm as it moved SE. Using this theory, it would make sense that the winds might have potentially gusted to about 50 or 60-mph for a few minutes in and nearby the storm itself. Now this is just a theory, I am not saying that is what actually happened. I am going to go over the reports and radar scans from that time and look further into the storm. I should have an answer by the Noon Update. Alright, so how about the weather for the next couple of days across the region? Well, it will be interesting. Let us take a look at it shall we:

The upper level ridge. The source of the brutally hot weather. Stretching from the Plains to the east coast. This ridge has allowed for hot air to move into the region, and put us in the 90's and close to the 100F reading several times over the past week or so. But with all great weather regimes, they must fall. The upper level ridge has basically exhausted itself, and it is going to be falling apart. It will fall apart as it transfers the remaining energy to the Rockies where a new ridge will form. Because of this, the frontal boundary is going to start to slope, and this is going to allow for an upper level low in Canada to be able to make a decent sized trough along the flow through the region. A low pressure at the surface over in the Plains is going to be riding this, and it will drag a cold front along with it. This cold front is going to be what introduces are next chances for storms into the region...and then finally the cool down that we've all been waiting for since June.

Here is the thing however, and this is not to cause panic, nor am I saying that it'll happen - but I will definetly be working on it a lot today - and that is this front. If something is going to kill the hot weather in the region, the hot weather that has been around for weeks, something strong has to do that. In fact, though the latest charts are indicating that this front will pass through as a mere whisper on an airport tarmac, something tells me it'll be a little bit louder. I find it hard to believe right now that a front like this, coming into hot AND moist air that's been here a while and cool us down by about 20F to 25F, is going to not produce some decent storms. I have a feeling that we're going to be seeing some nice sized storms come out around this front. I am not saying this front is going to produce a major storm outbreak, but I am suspecting at this point, highly, that it is going to produce some storms between late Saturday afternoon and into Sunday morning through the region. Some of these storms may be bringing small hail (pea to quarter sized) and gusty winds (though winds won't be as strong as what they were on Friday). It is something that I am going to keep an eye on when revising the forecasts later this morning. Like I said, I am thinking that this front, if it is going to cool us down this much, is going to do so with a few storms.

Moving out of Sunday morning and into the day Sunday, the cold front will finally start to push through. Now this cold front isn't going to cool us down right away, as it's timing will be a little on the awkward side. Temperatures on Sunday will manage to get into the upper 80's in the western half of the region, but the eastern half of the region will stay a few degrees cooler as the turn in wind direction will take that cooler lake air and blow it over the region.

Monday however, finally, that area of high pressure sliding down from Canada is going to ride the exiting trough's flow and move right into the region. This is going to cool the region down and put us into temperatures that are going to be rather seasonable. Looking at places east of Cleveland to stay at and possibly a degree or two lower than 80F for a high by the time Monday and Tuesday come around. Overnight lows in the region will finally get below 70, and finally get below 65, and places such as Toledo will get down to about 60F for a low on Monday night and even possibly Tuesday night. Buffalo will become the cool spot on Monday night and Tuesday night as overnight lows will dip into the mid to upper 50's.

So now you know, in good detail, what all is happening in the region over the next couple of days. I'll keep you updated as always. My next update and revision of the forecasts will be around Noon today so make sure that you check back for that. I'll keep you updated, but for now, that's the weather! Keep checking back for updates.