GREAT LAKES WEATHER: Warm, windy, rainy, cloudy...calm?

07 March 2012

Warm, windy, rainy, cloudy...calm?

Forecast remains rather simple in the region today, yet it will be on the windy side today. We have an area of low pressure to the west and an area of high pressure to our east. Both of the air masses are of decent intensity and somewhat close proximity, thus resulting in the following: wind. We have a tight pressure gradient over the region as the two air masses are exchanging air to one another, so that will in a nut shell be the reason for the wind today in the region. Expect some gusty conditions to last us through the afternoon with some peaking as high as 35 to 40-mph at times. So really nothing unusual when you think about it.

Due to this tight gradient, air is being pulled up from the south by both the high pressure and the low pressure. This warm advection is happening rather fast too and it is of decent size, so that is why temperatures today in the region will possibly get into the 60's pending no clouds get in the way.

This area of low pressure is going to bring its cold front across the region tomorrow and this will introduce rain showers into the region. I am not expecting much in the way of thunderstorm activity from this system, looks like things will be a little to stable for that too happen, however an embedded storm is still possible within the moderate clusters of rain showers.

Tomorrow the cold front will push across the region, making the rain showers arrive and then pulling them away towards the late afternoon in the west and the evening in the east. This front won't be that strong, however it'll have enough cool air behind it...that...it will bring...you're waiting for it huh...it will bring...cooler temperatures. As far as snow...more than likely most places in the region won't see any. Though the air mass will have cooler temperatures with it, it won't be enough to support much snow fall. Areas like Detroit, Erie and Buffalo could pick up a stray snow flurry...but in all honesty, nothing much in the way of accumulations.

Temperatures will be quick to rise again throughout the weekend as our next area of high pressure will get ready to enter the region. This area of high presure will be closely followed by yet another system that will introduce some rain showers into the region and some warmer temperatures once again. I'll type more about this later.

So really a calm day in the region today, despite the wind and really above normal temperatures. Looking for clouds to increase this evening with rain showers developing from the west to the east uniformly throughout the evening and overnight.

I'll keep you updated as always, I'll have some revisions coming up around 11.30 a.m. this morning so make sure that you check back for those. For now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather!

No comments:

Post a Comment

Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.