March

Tomorrow is going to be an interesting day with the weather as we have yet another system that will work its way into the region, and if it gets its way then it'll give us storms, but if nature gets its way then we'll get rain. A low pressure centre is going to come out of the Plains and head towards the north of the region - yet again - and while it will produce snow in areas way to the north of the region, it will produce rain showers and storms...along with above normal temperatures...in our region.

Tomorrow we're going to watch as the low pressure centre comes riding out of the Plais along an upper level trough. This low pressure will deepen rather quickly. In fact, tomorrow morning at this time, the low won't even be in existance, but by this time tomorrow evening the low will be strong and located over in Chicago. So this low is going to be a quick developing one that is for sure. The low will have a warm front preceeding it and a cold front trailing it. Both of which will effect the reigon in their own respect.

The warm front is going to lift into the region tomorrow around the afternoon. This is where the forecast starts to get a little bit tricky. Once again, around the warm front there will be precip - be it storms or rain is up for debate, I am leaning more towards rain for this portion of the forecast. The precip that does form will be scattered and it won't be the main event, at least so we hope.

Later in the evening, with the low pressure nearing Chicago and then riding through Lake Michigan, we're going to watch the cold front get ready to push through the region. The cold front is going to push up all that moisture into one location (the forecast region) and it will produce storms. However, the question this morning remains one simple thing: Cloud cover. Historically, clouds will make or break a storm event. If the clouds hang around, then we got rain at best, if the clouds go away for a bit, then we're good in the sense that we'll get storms.

Now the storms that do form will not be anything that impressive. They will be fairly regular. The biggest threat with them, like with all storms, will be some brief gusty winds and some heavy rains. Obviously. The majority of the strong storms will be to the south of the forecast region, but that doesn't mean that one could sneak its way into the region. However I am not really expecting much of a hail event nor much rotation with these storms, so in general it'll be like an early spring storm event. Nothing too exciting.

The cold front will push through the region during the weekend, and this is where the forecast takes a rather drastic change...it is as if we're heading right back in the winter we never had. When the cold front pushes through the region, a high pressure will make its influence known via temperatures, cooling the region down considerably. Highs tomorrow will go from near 60 in Fort Wayne, down to about 25 in Buffalo for the day Monday. So that is a heck of a regional change. With this inversion of cooler air into the region with the cold front, it should come as no surprise that Erie should be on the lookout for...yes, you guessed it, lake effect snow once again. This event will be tricky as temperatures will be in a weird spot and some of it will accumulate and some of it will melt on impact. I'll do more work with those numbers later this morning.

So really the weather is going through that typical March phase here. Buffalo, I think that regardless you do not have much of a storm event to be focused with tomorrow, same goes for Detroit. Best chances for storms will be between Fort Wayne and Cleveland, which is what I expected. I'll do some more work on them, see if I can get some times down on them, but otherwise, nothing much new going on in the region.

I'll keep you updated as always, I'll be revising those forecasts around 7.30 a.m. this morning, so be sure that you check those out. For now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather!