GREAT LAKES WEATHER: Noon Update

10 February 2012

Noon Update

Weather in the region right now is trying to go to plan, right now the main thing is just waiting for the system. Looks like about 1-3 inches of snow possible in the western half of the region overnight tonight and then possibly another inch on top of that tomorrow morning in the Toledo area. Fort Wayne, you guys will get about an inch or two, and Detroit and Toledo will pick up around 1-3 tonight as mentioned. Cleveland and points to the east are going to be seeing a little bit more.

As that cold front rushes over the warmer lake waters, that is going to be met with some gusty winds and some moisture in the lower levels and then some lake effect snow will develop. Looks like it’ll be a modest event with amounts decent, probably about 2-4, or maybe 3-6 inches of snow by the time all is said and done on Sunday. The system isn’t going to be a snow maker so much as it’ll be a wind event and a cooler temperature drop.

When that cold front passes through the region tonight, yes, you will feel its passage. The winds are going to make a sharp turn to the north and northwest and this will bring in some of that cooler air into the region overnight tonight. Those winds will be gusty, around 30-mph at times, but the fun wind won’t really show up until tomorrow morning and then again on Sunday morning in the region. Looking for gusts possibly on Sunday to be near 40-mph, which is normal.

Temperatures tomorrow in the region are going to be cool and a little bit below normal. Somewhere in the range of 10 to 15 degrees below normal for that matter and they are going to have a hard time getting past 20 for a high tomorrow in some spots. Depending on how gusty those winds remain tomorrow will also help in determining on whether or not those temperatures are going to recover from tonight’s lows of about 10-15.

Tomorrow night temperatures will also be down into the lower teens once again, so that is going to be something that’ll be fun.

The trickiest thing during the weekend forecast will be not only the lake effect snow showers, but the cloud cover in parts of the region. The clouds are going to be difficult and those are just going to be anything but fun to forecast for in the western half of the region. Looking at a couple short troughs to slide through the region over the weekend and start to the week which is going to make things rather interesting – but not too interesting.

So really, just a quick round of snow in the region tonight, mainly it’ll last about 12-hours at best if we’re lucky. Expecting to see temperatures to drop quickly once that front passes through this evening and then the winds will pick up quickly right behind it.

I’ll keep you updated as always, but for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that’s the weather! Keep checking back for updates because I’ll have them for you as always.

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.