It'll be close

One system is going to cut it close to the region, but the main blocker will be a high pressure system that is going to work hard to keep it away. We're going to watch a low pressure system ride up the east coast over the weekend, and it wants to come towards the region, but a high will prevent it. When I say it will be a close one, it will be. But for today in the region, the weather will be fairly calm despite some lingering flurries in parts of the eastern half of the region, the region as a whole will remain fairly calm as a different high pressure slides to our south.

Before I go any further, let me remind you that the extended forecasts will be revised throughout the morning on the site, so make sure that you check back for those. Mainly the revisions will be for the periods after Sunday...so just a aheads up.

Today, a high pressure is going to dominate the regional weather for tonight and tomorrow as it slips to the south. Clouds will attempt to decrease throughout the western half of the region this morning, however the eastern half of the region will hang on to the clouds throughout the day and even into the overnight. Temperatures are going to be just a little bit above normal with some ridging taking place, that high will push in some slightly above normal temperatures into the region today...but nothing too extreme.

Tonight, we're going to see this pattern continue as the high pressure slowly slips off to the east, allowing for overnight lows in the region to not fall a whole lot. The skies will remain clear for the bulk of the region this evening, and then towards sunrise we'll see clouds pretty much in the entire region. This will be the precursor to our next system, which will be weak, that is heading towards our region from the Plains.

Tomorrow, we're going to see a weak low pressure accompanied by a weak upper level trough push through the region. This system will be quick, but it will be enough that it will bring some precip along with it. The thing about this system is that it won't have that much moisture to work with as it heads towards the region, so we can expect that precipitation that does form will be generally scattered in the western half of the region tomorrow. Things will work differently for the eastern half of the region. But for tomorrow, look for the western half of the region to see the bulk of the precip in the morning and early afternoon. It'll start off as snow, and then possibly mix in with rain before all is said and done. By the afternoon, this system will be entering the eastern half of the region and things will get a tad bit tricky with this portion of the forecast as it does so. Snow showers will actually begin to occur in the mid morning in the eastern half of the region, but the bulk of the precip actually will not arrive until afternoon. For the Erie and Buffalo areas, it'll more than likely come in the form of snow, but it will not accumulate much as temperatures will not be all that supportive of it.

Tomorrow night, the system begins to exit the eastern half of the region. The snow showers in the Erie and Buffalo areas will actually taper off, but the clouds will hang around for a little bit. Temperatures will actually fall to near normal lows as a high pressure begins to build in from the west. This high pressure that comes in will be what will prevent the next system from really making it into the region. Around this time, a very nice sized low pressure system will be moving out of the Southeast states and it will have a nice shield (area of precip with a sharp end and start point) and this is going to quickly move northeast towards New England. This low pressure will deepen as it travels, and our high pressures will be moving in quickly to block this rain making system from entering the region.

Sunday, is where the forecast gets tricky. Where exactly will the high pressure be and will it be strong enough and hold enough dry air that it will keep this rain making system out of the way? For now, I am expecting that it will, and we're going to watch this system ride up the east coast. The areas that area going to be most challanging this morning to forecast for will be Cleveland and points eastward. Actually, I am expecting that Erie will be the most difficult to forecast for when it comes to Sunday and even Monday. Fort Wayne will not be that hard as that high pressure will pretty much be dominating them. The other challange that is going to arise is whether or not the cool air will be in place. If the cool air ends up being properly in place, then any precip that does stray into the eastern half of the region would become snow.Because of the proximity of this system, while the western half of the region will remain clear, I am going to keep the clouds in the forecast for the east as that system will be close to enough to at least give you guys that.

Sunday night, high pressure escentially knocks that system out of the way. And really digs into the region. This will allow for overnight lows in the region to go a little bit below normal as the skies will clear and the air will sink. That part of the forecast is going to be relatively easy compared to the daytime.

Monday, the high pressure enters Ohio and sets itself up throughout the region allowing for a calm weather day in the region.

Monday night, increasing clouds from the west to the east as the next system begins to head towards the region.

Tuesday, next system arrives in the form of a confused low pressure system. This system will enter from the Plains and what it will carry will either be cooler temperatures - which is looking unlikely - or above normal temperatures with rain. For now, I am going to actually keep the precip as all rain and the temperatures about 10-15 degrees above average.

So that is the layout of the weather for the next few days. Again, I will be working closely with this Sunday system throughout the morning, so make sure that you check back for updates because I'll have them. But for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather!