GREAT LAKES WEATHER: From the NWS of Northern Indiana

20 February 2012

From the NWS of Northern Indiana

924
NOUS43 KIWX 200801
PNSIWX
INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-
005-015-016-024-025-212115-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
301 AM EST MON FEB 20 2012 /201 AM CST MON FEB 20 2012/

...RECORD WARMTH IN NORTHERN INDIANA DURING WINTER OF 2011-2012 POSSIBLE...

THE WINTER OF 2011-2012 HAS BEEN CHARACTERIZED BY MUCH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES. AT FORT WAYNE...THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE FOR
THE CLIMATOLOGICAL WINTER TO DATE (DEC 1-FEB 17) HAS BEEN 32.3 DEGREES
WHICH IS TIED FOR THE 7TH WARMEST ON RECORD (WARMEST OF 36.9
DEGREES IN 1931-1932). AT SOUTH BEND...THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE FOR
THIS TIME PERIOD HAS BEEN 32.0 DEGREES WHICH IS TIED FOR THE 3RD
WARMEST ON RECORD FOR THE CLIMATOLOGICAL WINTER TO DATE (THE
WARMEST 33.5 IN 2001-2002).

THIS HISTORICAL CLIMATE DATA FOR BOTH FORT WAYNE AND SOUTH
BEND SHOWS A SIGNIFICANT LACK OF BOTH DAYS WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
BELOW FREEZING...AND DAYS WITH A LOW TEMPERATURE BELOW ZERO. FORT
WAYNE HAS HAD THE LEAST NUMBER OF DAYS WITH A HIGH TEMPERATURE BELOW
FREEZING FOR THIS WINTER SEASON (OCTOBER THROUGH APRIL) WITH 16 AND THE
3RD FEWEST THROUGH THE CLIMATOLOGICAL WINTER (DECEMBER THROUGH FEBRUARY)
WITH 16. SOUTH BEND HAS HAD THE SECOND FEWEST NUMBER OF DAYS WITH
A HIGH TEMPERATURE BELOW FREEZING FOR BOTH THE WINTER SEASON AND
CLIMATOLOGICAL WINTER AT 18.

THE TOTAL NUMBER OF DAYS PER CLIMATOLOGICAL WINTER AND THE TOTAL
NUMBER OF DAYS PER WINTER SEASON ARE LISTED BELOW.

...SOUTH BEND...

TOTAL NUMBER OF DAYS WITH A HIGH TEMPERATURE BELOW FREEZING
(CLIMATOLOGICAL WINTER).

6...1931-1932
18...2011-2012
19...2001-2002
20...1991-1992 AND 1974-1975
22...1920-1921 AND 1932-1933 AND 1953-1954

TOTAL NUMBER OF DAYS WITH A HIGH TEMPERATURE BELOW FREEZING
(WINTER SEASON).

15...1931-1932
18...2011-2012
23...2001-2002
25...1918-1919 AND 1974-1975
26...1920-1921 AND 1972-1973

...FORT WAYNE...

TOTAL NUMBER OF DAYS WITH A HIGH TEMPERATURE BELOW FREEZING
(CLIMATOLOGICAL WINTER).

12...1931-1932
14...2001-2002
16...2011-2012
17...1991-1992
18...1902-1903 AND 1905-1906 AND 1908-1909 AND 1953-1954

TOTAL NUMBER OF DAYS WITH A HIGH TEMPERATURE BELOW FREEZING
(WINTER SEASON).

16...2011-2012
17...2001-2002
19...1902-1903 AND 1908-1909
23...1953-1954
24...1918-1919 AND 1920-1921

THE WINTER SEASON OF 2011-2012 HAS NOT HAD A MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
BELOW ZERO THUS FAR. IF THERE ARE NO DAYS BELOW ZERO BETWEEN NOW
AND THE END OF APRIL...THIS WILL MARK ONLY THE 8TH WINTER SEASON
WITHOUT A SUB ZERO TEMPERATURE AT SOUTH BEND AND ONLY THE 11TH
YEAR WITHOUT A SUB ZERO TEMPERATURE AT FORT WAYNE. THIS WILL ALSO
BE THE FIRST WINTER SINCE 2001-2002 WITHOUT BELOW ZERO
TEMPERATURES.

THESE STATISTICS COULD STILL CHANGE SIGNIFICANTLY AS COLD
TEMPERATURES CAN LAST WELL INTO THE EARLY SPRING...BUT THE 7 DAY
FORECAST DOES NOT CHANGE ANY OF THESE STATISTICS...AND THE
OFFICIAL MARCH CLIMATE OUTLOOK FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICES
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HAS A GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS OUR AREA.

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.