GREAT LAKES WEATHER: Spring?

15 January 2012

Spring?

Did you know that during this day in 2009 the region was seeing all negative temperatures? That was a good winter. Weather across the region will try to hold on to winter one last time before our next system arrives tomorrow. Tonight, looking at some more cooler temperatures to enter the region just before some clouds arrive late tonight (towards sunrise). Toledo is going to attempt for a single digit tonight, but at this point, we may just settle for a lower teen reading. Either way it will be chilly tonight across the region. Now what about this next system?

This system is going to be an odd one, yet simple to forecast at the same time. A low pressure is going to come out of the Plains tomorrow, pulling its warm front across the region tomorrow and brining in rain showers with it. The rain showers will be fairly light, but they will fill a good bulk of the region by tomorrow evening. Expect temperatures tomorrow to climb into the lower 40's with the passage of the warm front and then overnight tomorrow they will not get that low with lows only in the mid 30's (mainly due to the rain).

Tuesday, those rain showers are still going to be in the region as that cold front starts to approach. The problem with this low pressure centre is that it is actually going to stay to the north of the region by a little bit, this will keep us in the warm part of it, but then we're going to see the chillier side of it. Now this low pressure isn't going to be very strong, so the temperature contrast will not be huge. The rain showers will go from all over, to a more widely scattered event as the front nears the region.

Tuesday afternoon (late afternoon) and into the evening, the region will watch those widely scattered rain showers turn over to snow showers. As for wrap around moisture associated with this low pressure we're not going to be seeing that many snow showers in the region, but nonetheless there will still be some around.

Wednesday in the eastern half of the region will be somewhat interesting as a weak lake effect snow event could be developing. But the snow showers aren't going to be that strong, so at this point I am not expecting that there is going to be a whole lot of accumulation with this. Also, it will be a brief event, so it won't have that much time to do much.

Cooler temperatures are going to try to hold onto the region, but a high pressure will slip to the south of the region and then move to the east which is going to allow for warm advection to return in the region.

Otherwise, there aren't any areas to make changes to the forecast. I'll have more updates coming up tomorrow morning, beginning at 4.30 a.m. But for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather! Keep checking back for updates because I'll have them for you as always.

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.