GREAT LAKES WEATHER: Actual Winter Weather on the Way...?

29 December 2011

Actual Winter Weather on the Way...?

The weather across the region is going to get a little active, and it will happen just in time for the New Years Holiday. Now before I go any further, let me remind that I am providing personalized forecasts – even if your city is one of the ones that is on this site – for cities all across the country, so just send me an email at albertson_timmy@yahoo.com and I’ll get you those. Some winter like weather is on the way for the entire region. Lets type about it:

Now a warm front is going to pass through the region this evening, so ahead of it will be rain and some snow showers. The snow showers will happen first, but then once that warm front nears, it’ll turn into all rain showers. The precip wont be around that much, they’ll mainly be widely scattered, so do not expect much rain fall totals from this portion of the system. The low pressure responsible for this is going to stall out over the lower portion of Michigan and this is going to hang around the region for about a day.

An upper level trough is going to come out of the Plains tomorrow and this is going to carry another surface low pressure. The surface low stalled out over Michigan will get absorbed (for lack of a better term) into the approachig low pressure that is going to pass through. This second low will be a little bit stronger, but not by much, and this is going to introduce yet another shot of precip into the region. The precip from this second low is going to start off as rain showers, but then that low pressure will pull in enough cool air, that the second half of the precip will actually be snow showers in the region. The snow is going to have a hard time accumulating because the temperatures will be warm, but not to worry, we have another system on the way and this one will be fun.

The low pressure and its associated upper trough will exit the region towards the end of the weekend and this is going to allow for ridging to take place in the region. This high presure ridge will warm up temperatures into the region, and then it will allow for our next system to produce some warm advection into the region. Here is where it gets fun: the cold front.

This low pressure will be up to the north, but it will have a long cold front that is going to sweep through the region. This system will start producing snow, and the main feature behind it is going to be the cooler temperatures behind it. The cold front is going to dive out of the Plains – so we know it’ll be good cool air – and this is going to thrust itself into the region by the New Years Day holiday. I am watching for a good chance for a nice sized lake effect snow event to take place in the eastern half of the region, with some additional snow showers possible in the western half of the region.

I’ll have another update on this system coming up in a little bit, but for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that’s the weather! Keep checking back for updates because I’ll have them for you as always.

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.