GREAT LAKES WEATHER: An Active Next 7 days.

15 December 2011

An Active Next 7 days.

The weather across the region today will be interesting as a cold front approaches the region with its parent low pressure over Ontario at 998-mbs. The weather ahead of the cold front is going to be rainy with warm advection taking place. This low is a little stronger than expected which just means that temperatures are a little warmer than expected this morning, hanging in the 50’s this morning steadily for the region. Once this cold front pushes through the region, temperatures are going to drop steadily.

Despite the passage of the front, there will be a upper level trough which is going to come down from the upper Plains and this will make it into the region this evening. This will keep the clouds in the region.

This afternoon the cold front will pass through the western half of the region around Noon today. This means that highs today will occur mainly in the mornings for the western half of the region, and then the temperatures will gradually begin to drop this afternoon in the western half of the region. Along with this drop in the temperatures, the chances for rain showers are going to pull out of the western half of the region.

The eastern half of the region will see the weather working a little bit differently today. The cold front wont pass through the eastern half of the region probably until early this evening. That means scattered rain showers will be out and about all day in the eastern half of the region. By this time however, then upper level wave will catch up somewhat closely to the low and this is going to blow cool temperatures over the warmer lake waters. This means that a brief lake effect snow event might be able to take place this evening and into the overnight hours. Now this event wont be anything major as a high pressure will try to keep it in check.

Tomorrow the weather be actually be rather calm in the region for the most part, despite a few lingering snow showers in the eastern half of the region tomorrow morning.

An upper level trough makes a passing glance through the region, spawning yet another possible lake effect snow event in the eastern half of the region on Saturday.

A cold front will pass through the region on Monday night/Tuesday and this will bring some rain/snow showers into the region. This is where that intense forecasting will play this morning as the temperatures will be a little tricky for the forecasts.

Another low pressure system will pass near to the region anywhere between Tuesday night and Thursday morning and this is also grabbing my attention as this low pressure will determing whether or not we’ll have a white Christmas or not.

I’ll have a lot more information on the upper level trough, the cold front and our next low pressure during the 7.30 a.m. update, so be sure to check back for that. My next Facebook update won’t be until 3.30 p.m. this afternoon. I’ll keep you updated as always, but for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that’s the weather! Keep checking back for updates because I’ll have them for you as always.

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.