GREAT LAKES WEATHER: Rainy Day!

29 November 2011

Rainy Day!

It is going to be a rainy day across the region today...so if you haven't already rolled up your car windows...it wouldn't hurt to do that.

.Occluded surface low pressure making its way towards the region this morning. This is what is mainly responsible for those rain showers this morning and the continuation of the rain showers throughout the day today. Starting this afternoon in the Fort Wayne area those rain showers will begin to mix with snow and by late this afternoon in Fort Wayne and the rain will become all snow. Lets take a look at the weather for the short term in a city by city look.

We’ll start with Fort Wayne. Fort Wayne, you’re going to be the closest to the “snow” location of this low pressure system as it passes through the region. Today you’re going to see rain showers likely throughout the morning, but then the rain showers are going to begin to mix with snow showers late this morning and early this afternoon. By the time the afternoon rolls through the rain showers are going to transition over to snow. Now because the ground is going to be a bit on the warm side (and wet side) accumulations are going to be hindered. The precip wont become all snow until this evening. By the time the snow really does begin to stick, the snow showers will have already started to become scattered. This means the best of snow accumulations will happen to the west of you guys and you’ll have to settle for about an inch of snow at the most. The snow showers will conitnue throughout the Fort Wayne area throughout the evening and , but then they’ll start to become widely scattered this evening. This means that the snow showers will taper off by sunrise. High pressure starts to build into the region and that is going to put your overnight lows on Wednesday night around 20°.

Toledo…by far the trickiest location to forecast for with this system. Rain showers will be likely throughout the day and into the late afternoon. The Toledo area will be seeing the highest amount of rain fall totals and already this morning about ¾ of an inch have fallen. The rain showers are going to start to become widely scattered late this morning, but they will still hang around in the region as the precip fills back in this afternoon. The rain showers are going to start mixing with snow showers this evening as the backside of the moisture enters the area. This will allow for the rain showers to mix with snow showers throughout the evening and then by late this evening the rain will become all snow showers by midnight tonight. The accumulations in Toledo area wont be that high at all, about a half inch at the most. The snow showers are going to last through the overnight hours, but only as scattered. By tomorrow morning the snow showers will start to taper off in the morning and then clearing in the skeis will take place throughout the afternoon tomorrow. This basically means that it’ll be chilly tomorrow night as lows will dip down into the lower 20’s depending on how early the clearing starts.

Other places in the region, with the exception of Detroit, are going to be seeing plain old rain showers throughout the day today and this evening. Erie and Buffalo are going to have to wait until tomorrow to see the rain showers switch over to snow, but by that time the bulk of the precip will have moved out of the region. This is going to mean that only a dusting of snow will be possible at best.

Otherwise, that high pressure is going to build in quickly tomorrow afternoon and evening. This high pressure will keep the area calm and dry through the rest of the work week. Still a chance for some stray snow showers Thursday night and Friday morning as a weak cold front pushes through the region, but I only have that chance up for Detroit. Otherwise, the majority of the region will just see cloud in that 24-hour period. Another high pressure will build into the region for the end of the work week.

This calm weather will not very long as I am going to be watching yet another low pressure get ready to effect the region. This means that I’ll be doing further forecasting on that this morning as well, and I’ll type more about that low pressure system.

Otherwise, not a whole lot to type about other than the weather in the region today. Typical November weather in the region today, this low pressure isn’t anything that we don’t see this time of the year.

I’ll have a regular update coming up around 7.30 a.m. so be sure to check that out. The site will be updated throughou the day.

I’ll keep you updated as always, but for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that’s the weather! Keep checking back for updates because I’ll have them for you as always.

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.