GREAT LAKES WEATHER: Some more rain and storms

26 April 2011

Some more rain and storms

Of course and some of you witnessed yesterday, rain was an issue. However today, the rain will still be an issue only this time it will be accompanied by some storm activity in the region. Now, I am not expecting there to be an outbreak, however we could get a strong storm in the mix later today as that daytime heating goes into effect for the southern part of the region.

Now the SPC does have some interest in the southern part of the region, however their main focus is down in the South.

But again, that doesn't mean that we wont be seeing any storm activity for the day today. The reason for their interest will be that warm front which is going to push through the southern part of the region in just a bit, and that low pressure in the Plain's is going to assist with pushing that moisture from the south our way.

Here is what is happening with the present weather.

We are finally seeing that stationary front move norhtward as a warm front right now, and that is going to push up those temps this afternoon into the mid 70's for a good chunk of the southern region today. Once this warm front passes, air is going to become unstable for the region, and this is going to make the air good for some storm development later today. Most of what we will see this morning before the warm front passes will be rain showers, and then once that front passes, we'll see some storms get into the mix.

Now the biggest threat with these storms if they do become strong will be small hail and very heavy downpours. Again, at this point I am not expecting an outbreak of any sort, but I am expecting scattered rain showers and thunderstorms likely throughout the southern part of the region today, and some of those storms could be strong which means that I will keep an eye on them, and update you if need be.

So for today, just another rainy day across much of the region, and then later today we're going to keep an eye out for some storms, some of which could be strong later today. Again, not expecting an outbreak of any kind, but maybe some fun storms later in the day today.

Highs are going to mild once that warm front passes, and it will also be a little humid. Mostly cloudy across the entire region today, so that could hinder storm development a little bit this afternoon, but that will also be something that I will have to keep an eye on. Nothing much more to really type about that.

As far as that cold front is concerned, well it will pass, but it wont really do so until tomorrow as that low pressure in the middle Plain's tries to get near to the region. For places like Fort Wayne and Toledo, you'll more than likely witness the passage of the cold front to be tomorrow around the noontime hours, and Cleveland and Erie wont see the passage of the front until later tomorrow afternoon. This front will naturally end most of the chances of precip, but it is also going to cool those temps.

Depending on the exact timing of the front tomorrow, will determine if we'll again see some strong storms. Because I am thinking that it wont be until tomorrow afternoon for Cleveland and Erie, I might be keeping the strong storm threat in the forecast for you guys, however seeing as how it might not be until tomorrow morning when that cold front reaches Fort Wayne and Toledo, I might end up dropping the strong storm threat for tomorrow. I will of course make that final decision around noon when I also do the noontime update.

So for the day today, the warm front will push through the southern part of the region later today. This will make the air a little unstable and favourable for rain shower and thunderstorm developement. Some strong storms could get into the mix today, but I will also have to keep an eye on that cloud cover because it could hinder the development of strong storms. Cold front works into the region later tonight and it will cross through the region tomorrow. I will be updating those extended forecasts for the noontime update and I'll let you know whether or not I decide to drop the chances for strong storms in Toledo and Fort Wayne for the day tomorrow.

Remember we have the link to the region radar located at the daily forecast section, just copy and paste that link and you can keep an eye on those rain showers and thunderstorms in between updates.

I'll keep you updated as always, and I'll have another update coming up at noon. But for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather! Keep checking back for updates because I'll have them for you as always.

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.