GREAT LAKES WEATHER: Oui

29 April 2011

Oui

Well the rain just doesn't want to the leave the area, and last night I spent all this time telling you about how it was going to end over night, and as some of you can see this morning it is still drizzling in the area with scattered rain showers about. Now, here is the plus side. Despite, the apparent semi-flub in the forecast, these rain showers are actually starting to end in the Fort Wayne and Toledo area, and they'll be out of here within the next couple of hours and we'll start to see some clearing in that area hopefully by the late morning hours.

Temps today wont be really bad once that trough clears the area. Depending on how quickly the clouds want to clear out, we'll be seeing highs in the lower 60's for a good chunk of the region (possible upper 50's moreso in Erie and Buffalo because the clearing wont get to you until a little bit later this morning).

Now, we're going to see a much needed break to all the precip for the day today and tomorrow across the region (with the exception of Green Bay). We got this system clearing out and we're going to enter about a 48 hour period of clear and calm weather for most of the region, and that will be needed to help give those rivers a chance to calm down and help that ground finally absorb that moisture. However the clearing period wont last all weekend.

What I am tracking is yet another low pressure that is going to try to take a different track than its predecessors. This low is actually going to cross to the north of the region, however it will have a nice sized cold front which will sweep through the region on Saturday night through early Monday morning. And that will just make things a little...more rainy and possibly stormy depending on where you are at. Now, I am not thinking at this point it will be that constant rain like what we saw this week, however it could be more along the lines of scattered, pop up and clustered rain showers and thunderstorms that will move ahead of the front. But I shall type about that for the 7.30 a.m.

For right now however, we are seeing that trough finally get out of the way, and no later than this morning should we start to see an end to the scattered drizzle and rain showers and move into some clearing...and yes, the sun is still around we just haven't seen it in a while. So dont freak out when you see a big yellow ball of burning gas in the sky today (it's a Friday, that is all the humor I have for you).

So for the 7.30 update, here is what I am working on: I am going to be working on some of the timing for the low pressure system that will effect our region towards the end of the weekend and what all we can see from it. I'll also be updating you on the clearing that I am expecting for the day today and tomorrow. So keep checking back for updates because I'll have them for you, but for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather!

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.