More rain

April is started with rain showers and it is going to end, barely, with out any rain showers (unless you're in Green Bay where rain showers will be possible before midnight, and Fort Wayne where a scattered rain shower is possible around midnight).

Now before you begin to read this post, let me remind you that even though the extended forecasts I made make it sound like we're going to get nonstop rain...that more than likely isn't what we'll see. We're going to see scattered precip possible, and for the way that I use them in the forecasts means that some of you will see them and some of you wont and/or they will be around, but they wont be everywhere at once. It is going to be one of those things where some points in the day there could be a few scattered rain showers in the area, and then they'll break, and then a bit later some more will form. I am not expecting anything too extreme from this system seeing as how we are too far south from it, however we could still pick up some rain if not a storm before all is said and done. However this wont be anything like what we saw last week.

Now onto some weather...

The low pressure in the northern Plain's will continue to move east-northeast this evening, however it is then going to make a turn towards the north. In doing so, this turn is going to slow it down briefly and then it will pick up some speed and go back north. But here is the catch: due to physics, the trailing cold front wont be moving as fast as other fronts usually do because of this northernly path.

Confused yet? I'll try to make it simple because it is hard to explain.
The cold front is tailing off the low pressure right now (that is sort of where cold front come from anyways) and this cold front is going to be pulled along by the low pressure. In a typical low pressure system (one that moves west to east through the region) we'd see that cold front move along with the low pressure at the same speed and such. However, when that low pressure decides to take a path from...south to north, that cold front can not "swing" around the low pressure as quickly because the low pressure doesn't want the cold front to get away.
Again, physics...it's sort of a pain to explain. But now lets get to some forecasts shall we:

Warm front is going to cross into the region this evening and that will help in raising those temps across the region. The warm front is all the way down in Indianapolis right now, however it is moving so it should cross through Fort Wayne and Toledo at any point now. When it does, the temps are going to rise back into the mid 50's for an overnight low, howver the warm front will help in introducing the chance for scattered rain showers tonight in the above mentioned.

I am not expecting that those scattered rain showers will make it into the Cleveland and Erie areas until early tomorrow morning, just before sunrise, and just like Fort Wayne and Toledo, those rain showers will be scattered.

So with that being typed, lets go over a timeline of what I expect to happen for tonight through tomorrow night.

This evening: Warm front begins to head to the region. Skies will begin to cloud up ahead of the warm front as it moves into the region. Fort Wayne and Toledo will see their clouds increasing this evening, Detroit as well. Cleveland you guys wont see your cloud cover until later this evening and around the midnight hours. Over in Green Bay, some rain showers will move through, mainly before midnight. As that warm front moves into the Fort Wayne and Toledo area, it will raise temps up into the middle 50's and possibly the upper 50's at times.

Overnight: Scattered rain showers will end in the Green Bay area, and then skies will gradually begin to clear up after midnight. Over in the Fort Wayne and Toledo areas, looking for those scattered rain showers to possibly develop any time after midnight. Some of the rain showers could be moderate, however the majority of them will not show up until close to sunrise and point afterwards. Cleveland will see a decent chance at some rain showers towards the morning hours, and for Erie I am not expecting that the rain showers will be possible until around the sunrise hours.

Tomorrow morning: I am looking for scattered rain showers and some rumbles of thunder to be prominent across the areas of Fort Wayne, Toledo, Detroit and Cleveland in the morning. Erie will as well as Buffalo will begin to see an increased chance of precip as the morning continues, however most of those rain showers will happen before the noontime hours, with a slight break in the afternoon. Skies will remain mostly cloudy across a good portion of the region, however skies in Green Bay at this time should be mostly clear.

Tomorrow afternoon: Looking for a brief break in the precip in places like Cleveland and Erie, however the chances for rain showers will remain the same for Fort Wayne, Toledo, Detroit and places just off to the west of Cleveland. This doesn't mean that it will be nonstop rain, it just means that a scattered rain showers and/or thunderstorm will be possible at any point throughout the day. However, with the cloud cover I am beginning to wonder if storms will be able to form tomorrow afternoon.

Tomorrow evening: Storms could pop up ahead of the cold front as well as rain showers as that cold front gets ready to move into the region. This will be the highest chance for rain showers and some scattered non-strong storms in places like Fort Wayne, Toledo, Detroit and Cleveland and it will be because of that cold front that will slowly, but surely, move through the region overnight Sunday and into Monday morning.

Once that cold front passes through, we could still get a lingering rain shower in the Fort Wayne and Toledo area because that front is going to be at an awkward angle across the region, and that could allow for a second, weaker low, to send some of its moisture up along the front...however that will be on Tuesday and I am still working on getting that part of the extended forecasts done...and I more than likely will not have that part completed until tomorrow morning once the new model runs come out.

So this evening will be as dry as it'll get for the next 24-36 hours across the region as we watch that low pressure in the northern Plain's take a northernly track yet still effect us. Some more rain showers and thunderstorms will be possible in the region after midnight tonight and they will last us a good portion of the day tomorrow until that cold front passes through Sunday night/Monday morning.

So tomorrow morning I will update you on whereever the rain showers will be at that time and what we can expect with them throughout the day today. I'll also be updating the extended forecasts like I do every morning, and I'll update you on what I expect that cold front to do on Tuesday. But for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather! Keep checking back for updates because I'll have them for you always.