GREAT LAKES WEATHER: Important

19 April 2011

Important

Ok, before all the other media stations tell you otherwise let me explain to you what will actually happen with this system. We're going to see thunderstorms in parts of the region later today and tonight...it happens. Convection. Hurray for physics.

We got a low pressure down in the Plain's that is going to quickly move towards the region throughout the day today and then it is going to move through lower central Michigan. In doing so this low is going to produce about 2-4 inches of snow in Green Bay. Most of that snow for Green Bay will occur only on the grass and then it wont last very long because tomorrow I am expecting that you guys will get into the mid 40's for a high...so do not worry, it'll all be gone before you know. Actually, it might not even get that high in accumulation because the highs tomorrow for you all will be in the 30's anyways. Just a late snow fall I guess. You are going to get some cooler weather behind this low pressure system however, and you could see lows get down into the lower 20's by tomorrow night. But we'll type about that later because now I want to type about the storms that will impact the southern part of the region later today.

As this low pressure moves in, it is going to push that stationary front down in the central part of Ohio and Indiana northward. In fact already, south of that front we're seeing good storms popping up, so once that stationary front starts to move northward, I'll be keeping an eye on it. Before we get too far in all this, let me just point out that today the biggest threat with these storms will be gusty winds and small hail. That is just for our area...now you get down to Evansville and places like St. Louis then obviously things might be a little worse off for you. However for our region, I am expecting that about 90% of our storm reports will be from gusty winds and the other 10% will be from hail.

When the front begins to move, it will most likely be late this afternoon or towards the evening hours, and we're going to see a sharp increase in those temps across the southern part of the region when it happens. In fact, tomorrow I am expecting the high in places like Toledo, Detroit and Fort Wayne to happen before noon tomorrow. So that just gives you an idea of how this system is going to effect us overnight tonight.

So rain showers moving through the region right now, Buffalo will start to get in on those rain showers later this morning, and we could have the entire region under some form of precip later today and that will be sort of funny to see...at least if you find that type of stuff amusing.

So coming up around 7:30 a.m., I'll take you more into this system and type about what we can fully expect from it. I'll also let you know if I'll be "Storm Updates" and if I'll have to do redo my forecasts.

I'll keep you updated as always, but for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather! Keep checking back for updates because I will have them for you as always!

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.