GREAT LAKES WEATHER: Low Pressure Natalya

06 January 2011

Low Pressure Natalya

Low Pressure Natalya is the 992 mb low pressure located in between the two peninsula's of Michigan...you cant miss it if you know what you're looking for.

What a surprise, there is a low pressure giving snow to the Great Lakes region in January. This is really a shocker...and this is really sarcasm in case you can tell over my typing. Well, as some of you in the region might notice, there is snow falling. Places like Toledo and even Erie are presently seeing some snow falling. Now, for people in Toledo, there wont be much accumulation, maybe about an inch between today and Saturday morning, but it is snow nonetheless.

We have a low pressure right now right next to Sault Ste. Marie, Ont. It's pressure is 992 mbs, thus qualifying it to be named Natalya by us here at the Great Lakes Weather Network. Now Natalya is a little unexpected, because I was not originally expecting this low pressure to pass below 996 mbs, but oh well, that's the weather world, what can you do about it.

Natalya will hang around the region for the next 48 hours, give or take a couple hours, and it will be producing some light snow in places like Toledo, Detroit and eve Buffalo and Erie (who'll be seeing some lake effect snow upwards of 2-3 inches by Saturday). Natalya will take her time in moving out of the region, and I am only expecting it to be in northern Lake Ontario by Saturday morning, so obviously she'll be a little obnoxious, but that is to be expected.

So what does all this mean? Simple really, snow for the central and eastern sections of the Great Lakes region for the next 36-48 hours, but it'll mostly be a scattered snow shower event. Behind Natalya will be some cooler air, places like Toledo could see lows near 10° on Friday night and Saturday night. By Sunday however, we'll see skies clearing out for the central Great Lakes region and by Monday we'll see clearing for the eastern part of the region.

So, basically, scattered snow showers anywhere east of Lake Michigan for the next 36-48 hours, and by Sunday we'll see clearing for the central region, and clearing on Monday for the eastern region. Naturally and as usual, I'll keep you up to date on Natalya and other weather as it develops, but for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather! Keep checking for updates.

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.