GREAT LAKES WEATHER: Here we go again?

12 August 2012

Here we go again?

Forecast over the next couple of days is going to be somewhat easy (and I use that term with caution). Right now we're watching a low pressure exit the area, allowing for a weak high pressure set up in the region (mainly over the western half) and then we're going to watch another low pressure move into the region tomorrow morning.

Right now, the low pressure exiting is the one that I was typing about yesterday morning. It is basically out of the western half of the region this morning, taking the clouds with it (but not quick enough as a meteor shower happened last night and the clouds ruined it for most). The eastern half of the region isn't seeing those clouds pulling out however, the low is still too close and that is also allowing for some lingering rain showers. Those rain showers will taper off by the afternoon in places like Cleveland and Erie, and there will be some decreasing clouds later this afternoon and early this evening in those areas, but the clouds will be quick to return.

Tonight, we're going to watch another low pressure approach from the Plains, and in doing some it'll start to bring the clouds back. The places that'll notice it tonight will be points to the west of Cleveland. As the low pressure moves towards the region, well, rain showers will be introduced up ahead of it. Fort Wayne will start seeing those rain showers developing as early as tomorrow morning (mainly after sunrise) as the fronts near and the low starts to take a NE path towards the central part of Michigan. Toledo, you'll see clouds until the afternoon and then rain showers and thunderstorms will begin to develop. The pattern will continue for the rest of the region as the low starts to effect all of you.

I am not really expecting a storm event with this system, the main feature will be clouds and rain showers (much like what we saw the other day) but a few embedded storms will undoubtly work their way into the mix. The big storms however will stay well to the south of the area down in Kentucky and Tennessee, so nothing to be overly worked up about. As far as rain fall totals are concerned: eh, I am not expecting anything too big from this system, so not much of a flooding concern.

The low pressure will exit out of the region by Tuesday afternoon for the west, and Wednesday afternoon at the latest for the eastern half of the region. This will allow for a high pressure to move into the region, keeping us calm and cool once again in the region. But another disturbance could move in just in time for the weekend. I'll type more about that later. But for now, that's the weather! Keep checking back for updates because I'll have them for you as always.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.