GREAT LAKES WEATHER: Quiet...

04 February 2012

Quiet...

Snow falling in the western half of the region this morning, however, the snow fall totals won't be that great as the system is going to be quick moving and the temperatures will be hovering between 31 and 34 throughout the morning hours - which is going to be tricky for the snow to stick. Regardless, we'll go with generally under an inch of accumulation in the western half of the region which should melt off later today. The skies will clear this evening and we're going to with mostly clear skies for the majority of the region, and some cooler temperatures compared to what we've been seeing. Before I go any further, I want to give a shout out to Kirstin Ridgley, a person who has been following Great Lakes Weather since November 2010, today Kirstin turns 18, so happy birthday! Now back to the weather:

Low pressure system responsible for this is moving to the southwest of the region and this system will remain to the south of the region. High pressure will block this high pressure from advancing too far north, however Fort Wayne could pick up a chance rain/snow shower today from the system, and Toledo will be picking up a chance for snow showers as well, otherwise the region is going to be oddly quiet as a high pressure comes down a little bit and holds itself into the region.

High pressure is going to dominate the regional weather through the weekend and into the start of next week, however we're going to watch the weather become a little bit interesting over the course of the week as a broad upper level trough pushes to the north of the region and allows for a few short waves to move along it.

The waves of low pressure will be enough to produce some snow showers in the region, however those snow showers aren't looking like they'll amount too much and the temperatures aren't going to get very low either. However, there is going to be a low presure system and then a cold front which is going to push through the region towards Thursday, and this will give us a good shot at some snow showers, but unfortunetly the snow fall won't be that great either.

Cold front will attempt another lake effect event in the eastern half of the region and this is something that I am going to watching throughout the afternoon today to see if it'll happen on Thursday. Otherwise, the weather in the region is rather straight forward and not that tricky. In fact the only tricky part to the forecasts will be the clouds which will hinder the temperatures a little bit. Otherwise, high pressure really playing dominance in the region.

Due to the fact that I am not expecting that I will have to change the forecasts a whole lot today, I am not going to have a Noon Update like I normally would. However, I will have a brief update coming up around 5.00 p.m. and then I'll be revising those forecasts if necessary around that time as well. I'll keep you updated as always, but for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather!

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.