GREAT LAKES WEATHER: Not as Exciting

02 February 2012

Not as Exciting

Last year around this time, the city of Chicago recieved its 3rd biggest snow storm in their recorded history. 20.2 inches of snow fell during that storm, which brought the city to a stand still. Over 1000 vehicles were stranded in the snow, and the schools actually shut down for the first time since 1999. What is the weather like in Chicago right now? 34 and cloudy right now with a light wind and no snow. Will there be any snow in the horizon over the next few days in the region?

Yesterday I was typing about a system that looked rather promising, however the models were not agreeing at all past Sunday, which made me do this mornings forecast by hand...and I almost regret doing it because the forecast doesn't look promising anymore for this system in our part of the region.

We have a pesky high pressure in the way this morning and it is centered just off to the west of the region as expected. This high pressure will actually move into Indiana/Ohio this afternoon and I might actually bring mostly clear skies into the forecasts here in a little bit depending on how I feel. This high pressure, though not very strong, is going to work with a stronger high pressure over the northern Plains at this time. That high pressure is at 1023-mbs this morning, and it will actually get a little bit stronger as the days on and then tomorrow we should see it up around 1030-mbs. This high pressure over the region will basically split...though this won't help the developing system in the west.

Over in the Rockies, a nice upper level trough slammed into the Rockies off the Pacific Coast yesterday afternoon and this is developing a broad trough, though sharp, with an upper level low. This will allow for a surface low pressure to develop. The trough has a bit more ridging up ahead of it, so we will be seeing some above normal temperatures in the region once again by tomorrow, but they won't be that bad compared to what we saw the other day.

The low pressure that develops really wants to come into the region, however that high pressure in the northern Plains has a different idea of the weather. This high pressure will start to slide down southward through the Plains tomorrow night and Saturday, causing the low pressure to get pushed to the east and then a little bit to the south and east...through Tennessee and nowhere near the region. The best we could pick up from this system at this point would be some stray rain/snow showers from it as it makes the southernly turn.

High pressure pushes itself all the way into the Plains by the end of the weekend, causing for that surface low to be over Georgia and this isn't going to affect us at all. The high pressure will put our temperatures back down around average with some calm weather through the end of the forecast period.

This high pressure will be rather strong, and it will pretty much dominate the regional weather for a few days...this morning update isn't as exciting as I would've hoped it would be.

So, I'll be touching up those extended forecasts later this morning and I'll have another update coming up around 11.30 a.m. this morning. My next Facebook update however won't be until 8.30 p.m. this evening. I'll kep you updated as always, but for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather! Keep checking back for updates because I'll have them for you as always.

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.