GREAT LAKES WEATHER: What tomorrow will bring...

09 April 2011

What tomorrow will bring...

(Radar for Green Bay and places west for 7:40 p.m. CT, 8:40 p.m. ET. Some storms coming close to the Green Bay area).

Well again as I typed earlier, tonight will be rather mild across the region as we'll see that warm front try to makes its way up to us tonight and tomorrow morning. As far as precip chances are concerned...for places like Fort Wayne and Detroit, I am going to drop the overnight chances because the front is moving just a tad bit slower than I had expected and there really isn't much precip ahead of this front anyways as of now...so the majority of tonight will be precip free. But as that warm front passes through the region and gets close to certain places late tonight and early tomorrow morning, I am going to call for a chance of precip for much of the entire southern region (minus Buffalo and Erie) from the sunrise hours until about noon tomorrow. A slight chance, but a precaution nonetheless to be quite honest with you.

Once this warm front passes on through, you'll know. Temps are going to be in the lower 80's from Fort Wayne to Cleveland tomorrow, and that might break some daily record highs, so tha will be interesting to see for the day tomorrow.

Now, this cold front will start to make its way into the region tomorrow, so there will be another slight chance for a scattered thunderstorm and/or rain shower in the late afternoon tomorrow, but for Erie and Buffalo, tomorrow morning I will drop that chance of an afternoon shower for Sunday because I think the front wont be close enough to you guys at that time.

Sunday night is going to be the most active night of this system. At that time, those storms are going to be rolling through and then out of the Green Bay area, and late tomorrow night those storms will be headed for Fort Wayne and Toledo and possibly even Detroit at that time. Small hail (pellet sized...pea sized, whatever size you wanna call it but it'll be tiny) and some gusty winds are going to be the main issue with these storms, but some of them could happen overnight (anytime after midnight is your best bet for storms in Toledo and Fort Wayne) and that will give you guys a good lightning show.

Those storms will then be moving through the region tomorrow morning and that will create the potential for a stormy morning commute all over the Lake Erie area, minus Buffalo who might still be out of the way at that time on Monday morning.

Really, because of the path of this system (and its wanting to go over Lake Superior) will mean that Green Bay will have the best chance of any of the cities we forecast for to have the best storms. As the system continues to move, it'll shift northeast through western Wisconsin/southern Minnesota and head towards Lake Superior. This means that the trailing cold front will sort of lose its...oomph so to type as it heads through the region. We could still pick up a strong storm or two in Fort Wayne and Toledo come late Sunday night and into Monday morning, but in general the farther east you travel...the less chance you get of a strong storm.

So in general, lets go over a quick timeline here for the day tomorrow...

Tomorrow morning, a slight chance of a thunderstorm along the southern portion of the region, especially around the late morning hours as a warm front pushes up northward. The chances for precip are not high so do not cancel all your plans for them.

Tomorrow afternoon, as that warm front continues to push northward, temps from Fort Wayne to Cleveland will be in the lower 80's, and they'll pretty much be in the 70's for the rest of the region.

Tomorrow afternoon, a slight chance of a pop up thunderstorm ahead of this cold front is possible in Fort Wayne and Toledo, however the rest of the area will just stay mostly cloudy.

Tomorrow night, thunderstorms will be rolling through the region, anytime after midnight is when Toledo, Fort Wayne, Cleveland and Detroit will see their storm chances really increase. A few storms could be strong, but in general, they'll mostly just be a good lightning show to type the least. Temps on Sunday night/Monday morning will remain in the upper 50's to lower 60's across the entire southern portion of the region.

Monday morning, storms are going to be likely across the entire Lake Erie area, including Fort Wayne (who really doesn't belong to a lake, so why we forecast for them is a mystery). As the front gets ready to pull through, those thunderstorms will start to give way to some scattered rain showers. Some of the storms in the morning could be strong, but most will just be regular spring time thunderstorms.

Tuesday...things clearing up and temps hovering the lower 60's across much of the region.

I'll have more coming up tomorrow morning around 6:30 a.m. for the morning update. I'll show you some temperature comparisions and my personal updated timeline on what I expect this typical spring time system to do and I'll also update my extended forecasts for you as well. I'll keep you updated as always, but for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather! Keep checking back for updates because I'll have them for you.

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.