GREAT LAKES WEATHER: Welcome to March

01 March 2011

Welcome to March

Well, we're going to have two high pressures that will effect and dominate the region for today and tomorrow. The first high will slide across Ohio today and that will keep skies for just about all of us in the forecast area today. Then, direct from North Dakota, we'll see a second high pressure, which will be a little stronger, and that will dominate us all tomorrow. This second high pressure will help to lower temps about 5-10° across much of the region.

However, things aren't going to stay calm for us here in the region. Along side our North Dakota high pressure will be a disturbance, and that could give some of us in the region a chance of rain and snow showers starting Thursday.

By Thursday evening, places like Green Bay, northern and central Michigan and the Chicago area will be seeing that precip. So do check the extended forecasts, so you know what form of precip you'll be getting, but its March so our options are limited.

By overnight Thursday, that precip will continue to slide southeast across the region, and this will effect Detroit, Toledo, Fort Wayne, Erie and Buffalo (so basically everybody). It wont be a whole lot, but enough to help some of those precip values. Right now it is a little too early to make a call on whether or not some snow showers will mix in with this precip, but for now, I am believing that this will be an all rain event. So...welcome to March.

Now, yesterday I was typing about those precip values that we had recieved across the region. Most of the big news and flooding is outside of the forecast area, so I wont type about it. But lets take a look at some of those rain fall reports, shall we.

This is an image of the reports from CoCoRaHS, and as you can see, a majority of the precip had fallen in a line from the Indianapolis area up to about Cleveland, Ohio. This was 28 Feb., so last night. The real heaviest of the rain had seemed to pass just off to the south of the forecasted area, but it is neat to see how much rain the Toledo area got, and then you go about 80 miles to north and basically nothing fell. That is how these low pressure systems work. Everyone to the east of it will get something, and everyone else to the south of it will get nothing.

Here are some numerical rain fall reports I have collected:

GLWX HQ: 0.87 inches.
Toledo area: 0.75 inches to 1.11 inches of rain.
Fort Wayne area: Between 0.57 inches and 1.28 inches of rain.
Detroit area: 0.53 inches to 1.32 inches of rain.
Erie area: 1.15 inches of rain to 1.64 inches of rain.

So a fair amount of rain fall across the region.

I'll keep you updated as always, but for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather! Keep checking back for updates because I'll have them.

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.