GREAT LAKES WEATHER: Slow warm up

26 March 2011

Slow warm up

(Some light upper level clouds just south of Toledo and Fort Wayne. Infared satellite image for 6:31 a.m.).

As I've been typing about for the past day, a high pressure is still dominating the region right now and that is keeping those temps well below normal. In fact, again today temps are going to be about 15° below average for most of the region, and possibly even a little more in some places. However, this is coming with clear skies and light winds today, so things wont seem that cool.

There are some clouds to west of the forecast area, and those might move in later today, but they'll be high level clouds, so you wont really notice them too much, so in general it'll seem mostly clear whether we have those clouds or not. Later tonight however, we could pick up some of those clouds, but no precip, as a disturbance tracks way to the south of the region, but we might see a cloud or two and possibly a brief overcast later tonight in places like Toledo and Fort Wayne and possibly even Erie. If it does appear that it will be cloudy, of course those lows wont be as low, but it'll still be a cool night tonight either way.

Things once again clear up for the most part across the entire region for the day on Monday, and it'll be a little bit warmer for just about everyone, however we'll still be below average in temperatures, but things should get to near 40° especially for Fort Wayne.

Now, a low pressure system is going to pass just to the south of the forecast area and that will bring us the chance of some scattered rain/snow showers overnight on Tuesday and into the day on Wednesday, the exact timing of this I am still working on, but that appears to be when it will effect us. It wont be anything too much, and the precip will be scattered so it wont be an entire wash out. If you do have anything planned on Tuesday or Wednesday, things are looking a little "eh" right now for Toledo and Fort Wayne and even Erie, so do be sure that you keep checking back for updates on that.

Otherwise, Thursday as well we could pick up some more scattered precip as that low pressure moves south of our area, those will be scattered rain/snow showers again for just about everyone minus Green Bay who'll still have that high pressure playing a major roll in the weather for you guys.

On Friday, temps should return to normal as we could see highs in the upper 40's in Toledo and Fort Wayne, and maybe even mid 40's for Erie and Buffalo.

I'll keep you updated as always, by this afternoon I should have the timing of this Tuesday/Wednesday system finished and I'll let you all know what you can expect from it. But for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather! Keep checking back for updates because I'll have them for you as always.

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.