GREAT LAKES WEATHER: A little below average

23 March 2011

A little below average

(Our low pressure responsible for this precip, moving eastward throughout the day, temps will quickly drop off behind).

Temperatures acorss the region are going to rise, and then for some places they will begin to fall later this afternoon...a little earlier than usual, so the contrast might be noticable for some. In places like Toledo and Fort Wayne, you'll get a high somewhere in the low to mid 40's, and then towards the later part of the afternoon temperatures will fall back down to the mid 30's as the front gets ready to pass through.

The low pressure that is causing all this is still over in the western part of the area, and that is the cause for some of this windy weather and rainy weather. Scattered rain showers aren't as abundant as I originally expected, however they are still around. There is a stationary front just to the south of the forecast area, and if that front decides to move up a little, then we will see an increased chance of precip, but in general I am going to say that it wont move up much farther than where it is right now.

Behind the system, places will see some snow, but it is really location depending. Once this low passes on through Toledo and Fort Wayne, temps will drop, but it might not happen soon enough to catch up with all the precip. This means we could get some scattered snow showers in those places, but not really any accumulation.

However, over in Buffalo and Erie we could get some rain showers today, and once that low passes through this evening and overnight, those winds will blow off the warmer Lake Erie and thus, we could get some snow. The bulk of the snow I believe will be in the Buffalo area (a little southward of Buffalo, and northward of Erie). Erie could get about 1-2 inches of snow fall between tonight and tomorrow, and Buffalo might see anywhere from 3-5 inches of snow fall before all is said and done.

Now mind you, we are going to stay around average in terms of temperature, so I do not expect that those snow fall accumulations will stay long on the ground if any. Skies will begin to clear out for the day on Friday in places across the region, and temps might get just above freezing and that will really melt that snow for you all.

So a late season system, this will more than likely be the end of the 2010-11 winter season, the last snow we might see (unless the Saturday system changes from what I think it'll do) but in general, this is just going to be more of an annoyance than anything else.

I'll have an update around noon, to keep you informed on what is going on...weather isn't always exciting, so sometimes updates make it seem more fun. And I would also like to type about this afternoon on whether or not we should get rid of forecasting for Toronto and add Cleveland, or keep things the way they are.

I'll keep you updated as always, but for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather! Keep checking back for updates because I'll have them for you as always.

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.