GREAT LAKES WEATHER: The usual

18 January 2011

The usual

Well, not a whole lot going on right now in terms of weather. The front has passed through most of the region already, only Erie and Buffalo haven't had the front pass through. Ahead of this front, light rain showers being reported, but not as much as I originally expected, but oh well. Behind the front, there still appears to be some cloud cover across much of the Great Lakes region, so we can expect those clouds to hang around for possibly the next 12-16 hours.

However tomorrow, most of the region will begin to see some clearing in the skies and a bit cooler temperatures. The high pressure will occupy the region for the day tomorrow, so that'll give us a brief break in the weather world.

But what I am watching is the next system work its way into the region. We here in the Great Lakes region could be getting some snow. Now, this system will really only effect the southern Great Lakes cities, Green Bay will probably miss out on most of this action. A snow system is going to come out of the central Plain's and generally move eastward around the high pressure (which is up in the Minnesota area). The location of the high pressure will be somewhat important to the amount of snow that we'll be seeing. But basically this system will try to "loop" so-to-type, around the high pressure. The best of this weather system will pass to the south of us, but places like Toledo, Fort Wayne and Detroit could get maybe 1-2 inches from it.

We call these kinds of weather systems "Upper Level Disturbances" and I doubt any of you want me to go into the physics of an upper level disturbance...so I wont, though I would like to.

Depending on how far south the system will go will obviously determine the amount of snow we'll be seeing, but for now, it is safe to say that Toledo, Fort Wayne and Detroit, as well as Erie will be seeing snow from this system. Not a whole lot really, maybe about 1-2 inches of total snow fall accumulation from this system if you're in Fort Wayne and Toledo.

Once this system slides past the region on Thursday evening, really cool air will take control of the area. On Friday, Toledo and Fort Wayne will see highs only near 15° and Detroit might see highs in the low teens. But, Friday night will most likely be the chilly night as we could see lows around 0° for the above mentioned. Erie, probably wont see that cool of temperatures because the low will pass way to your south, and the high will be too far south of you to give you numbers that low. So for Erie, I'd say lows around 10-15° on Friday night.

So, for the western and central Great Lakes region, these next couple of days are going to be interesting. A brief break tomorrow, then back to some snow showers on Thursday and then we'll be in some really cool air by Friday and Friday night. Naturally and as usual I'll be keeping you updated on this weather and other weather as always. You can also check the extended forecasts on the right side of this site. But for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather! Keep checking back for updates.

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.