GREAT LAKES WEATHER: Clipper #2 and something else on the way...

28 January 2011

Clipper #2 and something else on the way...

(Clipper #2 about to cross into Minnesota)

First, lets type about some present weather.

Well, our second clipper is moving through the region as I type. Snow fall is being reported in Green Bay right now, and Jacob is expecting about 3-5 inches of total snow fall between tonight and tomorrow morning. I do expect the bulk of these snow showers to be over with by very early tomorrow morning, and then you guys should see some scattered snow showers in the mid morning. But otherwise, most of the snow will happen overnight tonight.

In Toledo and Fort Wayne we'll see those snow showers move in really anytime after midnight tonight. Then, they'll be off and on and last through the morning and probably end sometime in the afternoon. Then we'll see scattered snow showers for the rest of the afternoon. I do expect about 1-3 inches of total snow fall to come from this system. Now this isn't anything to panic about, so I dont want to see people outside with their snow blowers.

Now, I will tell you what I am really tracking right now. This clipper isn't very hard to forecast for, but what will be hard to forecast is what we'll be seeing possibly on Thursday. A blizzard? Eh, not quite. Some snow? Yes.

Current charts and indications show a storm developing down near the Texas/Louisiana border (along the Gulf) sometime on Wednesday. Now, what we've all learned from me, is that anytime a system forms in the Gulf during the winter, it requires some intense monitoring. We get these quite a bit though.

The reason I have to monitor it closely is because anybody who is south of the low will get rain...anybody to the north of the low will get snow. Right now, the track is tricky. Some charts have me thinking it'll go through north central Indiana which means that Toledo, Detroit and Fort Wayne will get rain, and the rest will get snow. HOWEVER, some other charts have me to believe that the low will pass more towards Cleveland, which would just about give everybody to the west of Cleveland snow.

Now, because of the fact that the system is literally 6 days out, I am unable to give a snow amount. Posting an amount this early would be pointless, because I'd end up changing it at least twice, that and the track will probably shift over the next couple days. Also, it is going to be pointless to post an exact time for it, because its speed may also change. But, if I had to make a guess, I'd say that it could start impacting the region as early as Thursday evening. However, most of us here in the Great Lakes region will literally see some form of precip one way or another from this system.

So, tomorrow we're going to see our second clipper system move through the area. Nothing out of the usual here for winter time. I'll also be analyzing this possible storm over the next couple days, and I'll have updates and more information about it coming up in the morning. However, remember folks, storms like these are typical here in the Great Lakes region, so lets not crowd the stores and buy all the salt we can. It's winter, it happens.

I'll have more information coming up in the morning and I'll be keeping you up to date as always. But for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather! Keep checking back for updates because I'll have them.

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.