GREAT LAKES WEATHER: Wamer weather and winter weather advisories

30 December 2010

Wamer weather and winter weather advisories

Before we begin on our forecasts, lets take a look at some current advisories. The NWS office in Cleveland has dropped the freezing rain advisories for Toledo, however they have posted them up for Erie and Detroit -- and quite a few places in between. The freezing rain advisory for Erie and Cleveland goes until 9 AM this morning, however I do not expect that it will be much -- just slippery on those bridges and overpasses. For Detroit, your freezing rain advisory goes until 9 AM this morning as well, and that will mostly be for the bridges and overpasses. Now lets take a look at some weather, shall we:

We have a strong low pressure located in South Dakota, and it is being helped by a second and strong low in Kansas. The first low should die out later today, however the second low pressure in Kansas will be the one to watch for, right now it is at 983 mbs. This low will race NE towards Minnesota and that will be responsible for our warmer weather today and the next couple days. Lets go through a timeline of what I expect to see happen these next days.

Today: Warmer weather will be in the Great Lakes region today, most places will see temperatures around 40° for a high. Rain showers will be likely in places like Green Bay, Detroit, Toledo and Fort Wayne and possibly Erie could get in on some of the rain action.

Tomorrow: This is when things get interesting. A lot of places could see highs near 50° however our front will begin to really form and this will cause rain showers for a good chunk of the region.

Tomorrow Night: Green Bay will have the front pass through. Green Bay will have lows down into the lower 20's and it could get a bit breezy for them. Otherwise, the other places along the Great Lakes region will just see cloudy skies and rain showers with lows into the lower 40's.

New Years Day (Saturday): Rain showers will be heavy mostly from Fort Wayne through the Erie area. Fort Wayne will get most of their rain showers in the morning hours, because by the afternoon Jacob and I expect the front to pass through. That means for the people of Fort Wayne, by noon you could get into the upper 40's however by the afternoon your temps will drop into the mid 30's. It might get a bit windy for you guys behind the front. There could be a few snow showers behind the front, however nothing will accumulate.

Saturday Night: The front will make its way through Toledo and Detroit by the early evening, this means that temperatures will drop into the lower 20's overnight, and wind could be the biggest factor. With winds gusting to possibly around 40 mph, you could see windchills 0° if not below that. There could be a few snow showers possible in that area as well, but again, nothing will stick.

Sunday: Green Bay, Toledo, Fort Wayne and Detroit will clear out for the most part, however it could still be windy - especially for Toledo, Detroit and Fort Wayne. Temperatures for you guys will be in the 30's and 20's. Now, Erie will begin to expierence the front early in the morning, and this means that some snow showers could be possible in the morning, but nothing will accumulate.

Sunday Night: Most places will have had the front pass through them and we'll be back into our winter temperatures.

So, warm ahead of the front as always, then turning much cooler behind it. Mostly it'll be a rain event turned into a windy time afterwards. So lets recap quickly of what times I expect the front to pass through:

Green Bay: Tomorrow night/early Saturday morning
Fort Wayne: Saturday afternoon
Toledo: Saturday evening
Detroit: Saturday evening
Erie: Saturday night/early Sunday morning
Buffalo: Sunday morning

So keep checking back for updates, Jacob and I will keep you up to date on this somewhat interesting system as it works its way through the region. But for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather!

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.