GREAT LAKES WEATHER: Broken record

15 November 2010

Broken record

I know I am starting to sound like a broken record with all this "rain is on its way" however you must understand that this is the only weather event worth talking about right now. Remember, for a weather man, sunny days are the worst there could be. So with that being complained about, lets get to some weather now.

Here is what I expect to go down within the 36 hours. First off, the low pressure down in Texas is going to start moving up our way over night. By the morning, if all goes according to plan, it'll be in Missouri or close to it. The low (I named it Tzipora) will continue to move to the northeast throughout the day. Tzipora will deepen (meteorologist slang for "get strong") and possibly reach 998 mbs by tomorrow morning.

People in the southern Great Lakes region (Ft. Wayne, Toledo, S. Bend, Lima) will see clouds start to roll in late tonight and possibly into the morning. A mostly cloudy day for the southern Great Lakes for tomorrow, with highs near 55°.

Starting around the late afternoon (around 4 p.m. or 6 p.m.) Tzipora will start to produce rain for the mentioned region and the rain will start off scattered. The rain will persist throughout the nighttime hours tomorrow as Tzipora passes over Indiana tomorrow night. By Wednesday, Tzipora will be out of the Great Lakes region, so we most likely wont see any rain on Wednesday, but Tzipora might change her mind if she decides to get stronger.

A second low trying to get organized over South Dakota might give us some more rain on Thursday, this is where places like Fort Wayne and Detroit could see some scattered snow showers mixing in. Will Toledo get these snow showers...right now, I am going to say no.

So lets recap here quickly before I bore you any more.

1. Tzipora will move NE from Texas tonight, most likely in Missouri at 998 mbs by the morning.
2. Tzipora will pass over Indiana tomorrow night, giving off and on rain showers for much of the southern Great Lakes region tomorrow night.
3. Tzipora clears out of the area by Wednesday, where most of the mentioned region will see only some isolated rain showers.
4. A second low will pass through the Great Lakes region on Thursday giving more scattered rain showers with the possibility of some snow showers mixing in early in the morning.

I'll have more on Tzipora coming up tomorrow morning, but for now, I am Timmy Albertson and that's the weather!

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Wednesday forecast

Cleveland: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the mid 40's with overnight lows in the mid 30's. Winds NW at 5-10 mph, shifting to the SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Erie: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows in the low to mid 30's. Winds W-WNW at 5-10 mph, shifting to SE at 10-15 mph this evening.
Toledo: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and overnight. Highs in the lower 40's with overnight lows around 40°. Winds SW at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph, then shifting to SW at 10-15 mph this evening.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?icao=KIWX&prod=n0r&bkgr=black&endDate=20110419&endTime=-1&duration=0 Link to regional radar.

Extended forecasts (made at 8.07 wednesday)

CLEVELAND
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the mid morning and then rain showers likely after noon. Highs in the lower 50’s. Winds S at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely in the early evening, then becoming scattered before midnight and mixing with snow. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then scattered snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. Accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the evening and then lessening up after midnight. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

ERIE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers developing in the late afternoon. Highs in the upper 40’s. Winds SE at 15-20 mph with gusts of 30 mph possible by the late afternoon.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the evening, then becoming scattered and mixing with snow after midnight. Scattered snow showers possible towards sunrise. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible in the morning, then lake effect snow showers likely throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30’s. New accumulations around an inch or two possible. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely in the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with lake effect snow showers likely throughout the night. New accumulations around an inch or two likely. Lows around 30°. Winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.

FORT WAYNE
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely throughout the morning and early afternoon. Rain showers becoming scattered in the late afternoon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph likely.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers likely in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening and becoming all snow before midnight. Scattered snow showers possible overnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds W-WNW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the day. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers and flurries possible in the evening, otherwise lingering flurries after midnight with a low in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds NW at 20-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph likely.

TOLEDO
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers developing in the early morning, then rain showers by noon. Highs around 50°. Winds S-SW at 15-20 mph with gusts of 35 mph possible.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy with rain showers becoming scattered in the early evening, then mixing with snow in the evening. Scattered snow showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 30’s. Winds becoming W at 15-25 mph with gusts of 40 mph possible after midnight.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers likely in the morning, then lingering scattered snow showers and flurries possible throughout the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30’s. Winds NW at 25-30 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely by the late afternoon.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries possible throughout the overnight. Lows in the mid 20’s. Winds NW at 25-35 mph with gusts of 45 mph likely.